(5/10/25) Ouchee 1-2 yesterday 34-20-1
Message from yesterday: Don’t get cocky. No matter what the Stats tell you players play, plays happens, and outcomes can rarely be guaranteed in any sporting event. Particularly in Baseball. Baseball teams (26 payers-in Sept they can carry 28) typically carry 5 starting pitchers, 8 relievers, 8 defensive players, and 5 bench players. Additionally each team has the 40 man roster where they can rotate players in and out during the season. It is hard to know game-to-game who starts, who will play. With pitching the starting pitchers are announced but after that who knows? Enough of the analysis. The game can still be beat because bookmakers using AI to help them set lines for 50-60 bets per game for 15 games means they set lines for 900 bets per day. They don’t get it right all the time.
3:10 pm. Take +120 on Guardians at home vs the Phillies. Guardians Bibee 3-2 4.26 ERA vs Suarez 17.0 ERA after one start where he got shelled after 3 innings.
Philadelphia Phillies @ Cleveland Guardians
22-16, 9-10 away 23-15, 12-5 home
2. 3:10 pm. Lay -115 on the Tigers which looks like a gift home vs. Rangers. The Tigers are smoking right now going 8-2 last 10 vs 3-7 for the Texans. DeGrom the pitching ace for the Texans has a 4.82 ERA on the road, Flaherty for the Tigers has 1.59 ERA at home. Again this line seems like a gift, but as we saw yesterday gifts are not always guaranteed.
Texas Rangers @ Detroit Tigers
18-21, 6-13 away 26-13, 14-3 home
3. 5:10pm. Lay -220 on the Padres vs Colorado. Why? Because the Rockies are just bad, so sad. They did get 16 hits last night but none of the Padre relievers pitched more than 0.1 innings except one. Padres are pissed from losing 2 of 3 from the Yankees including an extra inning game on Thursday they should have won.
San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies
24-13, 10-9 away 6-32, 4-15 home
GOOD HUNTING